NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48365895f8f9fa0544725f249d75ba2d6fb17b5d9062e584587921fd6e7a9c5f

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $306,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $299,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,514 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under	50c	105,978$53,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,950.32	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	20,080$10,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,040	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	15,096$7,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,678.98	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	44c	11,552$5,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,468.87	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	52c	10,982$5,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,710.8	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	50c	7,737$3,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,861.95	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	50c	6,691$3,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,345.87	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over	50c	5,555$2,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,777.5	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	50c	5,370$2,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,685	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	172	50%86 W · 86 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	51c	3,950$2,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,935.5	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over	51c	3,691$1,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,882.17	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under	50c	2,854$1,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over	50c	2,300$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over	53c	2,075$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.76	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under	50c	1,694$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.47	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	1,040$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.4	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over	51c	850$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.5	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	49c	749.97$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.49	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	52c	547.47$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.62	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	49c	495.92$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.92	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Over	51c	483.46$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.56	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	49c	444.92$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.95	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	46c	444.92$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.81	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over	50c	370.5$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.25	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	73c	308.99$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.57	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Under	34c	308.11$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.33	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over	52c	251.51$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under	40c	245.21$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.13	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	51c	237.16$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.85	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	51c	230$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.3	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over	52c	227.22$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.88	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over	50c	199.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over	49c	198.59$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.31	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over	51c	174.67$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0c…90a3backed Over	52c	173.27$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over	62c	161.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	61.6%93 W · 58 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under	51c	156.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.86	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Over	70c	143.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Under	41c	104.61$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.72	456	57%260 W · 196 L	+44.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	117	13.7%16 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x803b…608abacked Over	51c	88.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over	51c	86.34$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.03	244	54.1%132 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over	51c	84.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Over	60c	83.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	50c	80.16$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.16	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.04	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+6.6wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Over	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under	45c	68.51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.67	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6e…da08backed Under	50c	66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.74	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under	50c	63.16$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Over	65c	61.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over	51c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	412	51%210 W · 202 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	48c	59.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.88	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Over	52c	58.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	50c	54$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.21	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	141	50.4%71 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90d…db1fbacked Over	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Over	52c	49.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.19	120	62.5%75 W · 45 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	50c	43.26$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.63	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Under	49c	42.75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa993…1c15backed Under	50c	40.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under	50c	39.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.61	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under	50c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under	50c	39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	56%65 W · 51 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38bb…49f0backed Over	60c	37.73$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under	49c	36.94$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	147	54.4%80 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	36.6$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b0…2554backed Over	58c	34.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under	49c	30.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.73	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	40c	30.4$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.54	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.18	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event