Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f44b028ef2c67207e08c7e1ba402c35663767bf56f9f376c5c03eca1471b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 215,260$103,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,114.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 48c | 50,904$24,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,424.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 19,813$10,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 18,069$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,737.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 15,310$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,284.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 7,700$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 52c | 7,166$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.44 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 4,208$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.47 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 48c | 4,147$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 2,798$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.18 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 52c | 2,373$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 1,528$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.55 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 1,515$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.81 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 1,479$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.17 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…eeb4backed Over | 36c | 1,387$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 1,220$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.93 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.32 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 28c | 943.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.02 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 705.11$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 642.09$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 47c | 640.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.18 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 49c | 617.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.33 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 52c | 599.91$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 53c | 540$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 52c | 536.54$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 68c | 513.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 499.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 52c | 490$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 52c | 488.88$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.66 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 427$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.27 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 44c | 383.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 52c | 361.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 37c | 354$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 57c | 352.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…475bbacked Over | 53c | 344.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 50c | 317$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 44c | 295.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 282.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 236$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 54c | 209$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 30c | 200.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 190.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 56c | 187.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.