Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a4a230f6b313e812c6190bdd786d84461e4c446beb1511f6ac08e257734cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 9,470$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 78c | 6,355$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.76 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 22c | 4,971$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.49 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 76c | 2,400$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.94 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 2,022$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Over | 78c | 1,011$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 23c | 799.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 606.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 38c | 531.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 59c | 510.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 47c | 499.11$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 490.43$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 76c | 453.15$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 22c | 303.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 215$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…0b99backed Over | 78c | 192.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 59c | 169.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…4675backed Over | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 69c | 152.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 75c | 143$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 122.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 57c | 122.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 78c | 116.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 19c | 104.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Under | 24c | 94.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 77c | 87.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 78c | 83.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…5079backed Over | 73c | 74.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 76c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 76c | 69.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 73c | 69.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 77c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 52c | 33.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Under | 39c | 30.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 64c | 25.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…ccc8backed Over | 78c | 24.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 22.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 65c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 77c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 78c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.