Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-17?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd7b0ddc7a39cad68adc97a0cfe73753e01d6c47cbdc6ac1c357a6f5bcab4ac

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $437,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $422,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,034 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No	67c	348,107$232,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115,281.91	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes	33c	100,000$33,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,000	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	33c	79,342$26,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,182.93	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	34c	33,567$11,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,299.41	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes	33c	30,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes	33c	20,616$6,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,808.09	782	48.8%382 W · 400 L	-28.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	33c	20,000$6,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,675	166	52.4%87 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	33c	18,498$6,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,015.66	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	30c	11,157$3,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,390.13	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Yes	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	30c	5,687$1,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715.93	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	33c	4,152$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.63	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes	33c	4,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	34c	4,000$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes	33c	3,500$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Yes	33c	3,500$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes	34c	3,486$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.24	147	56.5%83 W · 64 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	31c	3,081$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.77	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	230	46.5%107 W · 123 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x285e…c2f4backed No	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes	21c	2,132$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Yes	33c	2,108$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.56	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes	33c	2,097$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.07	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.19	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes	33c	1,641$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.51	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes	33c	1,100$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes	33c	1,095$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.35	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes	33c	1,061$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes	35c	1,034$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	33c	1,012$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.02	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	33c	874$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.42	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes	34c	818.21$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.19	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes	33c	801.49$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.49	311	45%140 W · 171 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes	33c	800$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	227	47.1%107 W · 120 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes	7c	800$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	91	23.1%21 W · 70 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes	34c	700$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	34c	699.63$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.87	74	23%17 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…e2a2backed Yes	33c	644$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes	33c	636.36$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	33c	600$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe020…85a2backed Yes	34c	587.47$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	33c	578$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.88	569	51.8%295 W · 274 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	35c	569$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.98	151	34.4%52 W · 99 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes	30c	525.86$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes	34c	516$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.28	228	29.4%67 W · 161 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Yes	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes	33c	482.26$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.15	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed No	67c	424.53$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.88	175	49.1%86 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	34c	388$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.6	339	45.7%155 W · 184 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4b…69c4backed Yes	12c	375$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd375…e1ecbacked Yes	34c	370.59$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes	33c	357.39$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.94	187	46%86 W · 101 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Yes	33c	356.82$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.73	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No	66c	344$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.96	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes	13c	294.57$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+5.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes	35c	258.56$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes	33c	250$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes	33c	240$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	32c	236$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.44	511	36.8%188 W · 323 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes	12c	225$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	16c	200.95$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.19	762	34.8%265 W · 497 L	+9.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes	34c	200$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes	32c	199.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes	33c	179.29$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.17	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	34c	167.32$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.89	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	34c	165.53$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.28	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	34c	159.97$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	536	45.9%246 W · 290 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes	34c	151.09$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.37	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c30…7320backed Yes	31c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c88…c9d2backed Yes	13c	136.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25b…1220backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	179	30.2%54 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…0b29backed Yes	33c	118.91$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	33c	113.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.37	343	42%144 W · 199 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes	18c	112.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes	22c	108.8$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Yes	12c	107$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes	34c	105$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes	34c	102.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes	34c	102.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b56…eec8backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Yes	34c	97.06$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes	16c	95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ab…9d9fbacked Yes	19c	94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Yes	33c	90$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d91…7e2ebacked Yes	34c	89.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-17?this page
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-17?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event