Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bf7c134b0cf8539d7ab7a1cfd55bb985d8d413da29cb32ac47cd2fbc7ab25ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 42c | 14,230$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 11c | 13,081$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.37 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 9,744$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.3 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 5,613$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 4,424$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.74 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 59c | 4,214$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.26 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 40c | 3,952$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.99 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 59c | 3,600$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 58c | 2,636$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.55 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 2,426$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.72 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 57c | 2,346$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.17 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,267$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.47 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Yes | 61c | 2,129$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 34c | 2,022$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 1,965$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.05 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 25c | 1,698$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.43 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 59c | 1,629$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.11 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…423abacked Yes | 71c | 1,460$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked No | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 60c | 1,174$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.39 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 60c | 1,096$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.85 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 59c | 1,079$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.61 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 917.03$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.11 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked No | 59c | 888.14$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 850.83$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.99 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 768.77$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.95 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 762$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.58 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 710.28$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 455.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 364.21$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…8ebdbacked Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 14c | 359.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 348.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 319$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…7dd0backed No | 59c | 318.64$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 25c | 284.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 281.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 59c | 280.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 40c | 224.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…8eb4backed No | 21c | 220.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 215.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 58c | 213.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed Yes | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 42c | 188.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed No | 41c | 176.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 168$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…a29ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 74c | 153.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229e…3cb2backed Yes | 68c | 147.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 144.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 130.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…0b29backed Yes | 62c | 129.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 39c | 128.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…b7aebacked Yes | 73c | 122.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 41c | 121.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 119$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 60c | 104.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 101.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…d709backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ef48backed Yes | 63c | 95.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 76c | 93.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.