Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338757db3abb1000f52f028fb762590289a44d670757b7d858f3c05a05b83732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryan Nijboerof Niels Visker, Ryan Nijboer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Niels Visker | 2c | 12,495$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Niels Visker | 30c | 6,067$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.15 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 69c | 5,500$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.01 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Niels Visker | 38c | 2,891$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.98 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niels Visker | 4c | 2,125$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ryan Nijboer | 66c | 1,705$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels Visker | 10c | 1,682$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels Visker | 37c | 1,339$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Niels Visker | 6c | 1,253$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Ryan Nijboer | 58c | 997.43$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.92 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Niels Visker | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Niels Visker | 42c | 750.2$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Niels Visker | 22c | 623.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Niels Visker | 39c | 583.25$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Ryan Nijboer | 58c | 562.93$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Niels Visker | 38c | 562.85$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Niels Visker | 42c | 520.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Ryan Nijboer | 60c | 520$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ryan Nijboer | 69c | 519.57$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Niels Visker | 30c | 297.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Niels Visker | 17c | 287.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Niels Visker | 6c | 278.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Ryan Nijboer | 72c | 273.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Ryan Nijboer | 77c | 260.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Niels Visker | 26c | 239.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Niels Visker | 43c | 232.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ffcabacked Niels Visker | 7c | 198.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Niels Visker | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Ryan Nijboer | 60c | 181.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Niels Visker | 43c | 181$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Niels Visker | 41c | 160.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Niels Visker | 39c | 155.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…eec8backed Niels Visker | 7c | 153.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Niels Visker | 16c | 121.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Ryan Nijboer | 77c | 110.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Niels Visker | 40c | 105.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Niels Visker | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ryan Nijboer | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Niels Visker | 41c | 98.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Niels Visker | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Niels Visker | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ryan Nijboer | 73c | 89.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Ryan Nijboer | 71c | 77.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Niels Visker | 39c | 76.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Ryan Nijboer | 65c | 65.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Niels Visker | 35c | 62.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Niels Visker | 41c | 61.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Niels Visker | 23c | 59.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Ryan Nijboer | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Niels Visker | 30c | 49.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Niels Visker | 40c | 45.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ryan Nijboer | 76c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Ryan Nijboer | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ryan Nijboer | 74c | 39.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Niels Visker | 31c | 38.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Niels Visker | 27c | 37.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Niels Visker | 40c | 32.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Ryan Nijboer | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed Ryan Nijboer | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Ryan Nijboer | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 252 | 59.9%151 W · 101 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…4349backed Ryan Nijboer | 75c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ryan Nijboer | 60c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ryan Nijboer | 69c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Ryan Nijboer | 62c | 18.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Ryan Nijboer | 72c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Ryan Nijboer | 60c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bunschoten: Niels Visker vs Ryan Nijboerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Visker vs NijboerNijboer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.