Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd34fc5e6f1d8b2f65ae8c8a3c689ee1f48824d572dad0d6517315ae4344c0ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Dartmouth Big Green, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 563,403$290,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273,093.32 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 250,000$121,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,249.98 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 175,033$84,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,015.87 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 115,171$56,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,433.83 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 3,884$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 2,768$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 2,639$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 2,053$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 1,456$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 1,150$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 964.09$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.4 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 31c | 632.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 625$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Penn Quakers | 64c | 576.88$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 477.51$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 477.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Penn Quakers | 77c | 464.51$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penn Quakers | 11c | 454.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.27 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Penn Quakers | 42c | 422.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.94 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 363$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 345.88$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 49c | 336.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Penn Quakers | 10c | 331.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Dartmouth Big Green | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 69c | 280$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Penn Quakers | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 199.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 169.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 141.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Penn Quakers | 14c | 121.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Penn Quakers | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 99.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 94.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 91.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Penn Quakers | 68c | 88.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c4…e040backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 81.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Penn Quakers | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 77.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Dartmouth Big Green | 30c | 64.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…9046backed Dartmouth Big Green | 79c | 63.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 60.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 56.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 54.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 52.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…d892backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 32.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…300fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…eec8backed Dartmouth Big Green | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-1.5)this page
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big GreenPenn Quakers won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 161.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 162.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 163.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.