Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e598f4552b3924b5d84ce2e1ca93543ddaff77e8ae418a983dc6b9f1c03beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Penn Quakers, Dartmouth Big Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penn Quakers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 4,963$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Penn Quakers | 66c | 1,432$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penn Quakers | 74c | 1,262$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.96 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 1,104$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.06 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Dartmouth Big Green | 33c | 992.24$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.1 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dartmouth Big Green | 68c | 783.77$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 749.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.23 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers | 69c | 517.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers | 47c | 484.24$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 472.62$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 30c | 421.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…61b5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 6c | 343.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Penn Quakers | 33c | 275$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Dartmouth Big Green | 40c | 261.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 253$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 249$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Penn Quakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 214$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penn Quakers | 36c | 207$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 177$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 34c | 143.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Penn Quakers | 71c | 141.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 64c | 136$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 134.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 52c | 85.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Penn Quakers | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Penn Quakers | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn Quakers | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…fb8cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 47.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn Quakers | 31c | 42.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Penn Quakers | 39c | 31.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 57c | 29.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Dartmouth Big Green | 65c | 22.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenthis page
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 161.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 162.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 163.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-1.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.