Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4193e50231e79b330cdf8bada2f78ecbba1e18a91d211c35cdd09a992f9a097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 51,709$29,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,759.19 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 63c | 41,608$26,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,260.98 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 65c | 30,068$19,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,605.77 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 18,148$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.24 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 9,266$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.09 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 37c | 8,000$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 43c | 7,794$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.82 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,389$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.41 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.98 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 63c | 4,822$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 62c | 4,340$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.32 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 37c | 4,013$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 3,440$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.07 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 3,373$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 34c | 2,591$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.28 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 63c | 2,364$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 49c | 1,750$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.88 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 1,498$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.39 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 33c | 1,408$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 58c | 1,357$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.69 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 8c | 1,350$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 36c | 1,286$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.77 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,149$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.08 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 12c | 1,137$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 38c | 1,026$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.21 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 66c | 999.97$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 68c | 734.19$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 35c | 706.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 669.12$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.11 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 33c | 653.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 38c | 649.79$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 43c | 605.46$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 42c | 600$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 33cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 39c | 541$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…5909backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 39c | 507.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 63c | 476.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 450$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed No | 65c | 446.29$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 60c | 434.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 35c | 425$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 44c | 320.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 59c | 311$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 15c | 309$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 307.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 34c | 296.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 293.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 36c | 285.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 37c | 278.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 274.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf287…74f3backed No | 13c | 266.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 39c | 254.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…792cbacked No | 64c | 244.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 221.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 53c | 206.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 190.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 36c | 167$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…355cbacked Yes | 35c | 161.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…fca3backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 41c | 153.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 37c | 140.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.