Champions League · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f2f927ed1976246b1b19b64a82e31055a1074e0ab98b5bdb8bd8838ba87c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 43,917$32,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,787.62 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 24,735$8,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.83 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 23,090$15,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.38 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 14,206$10,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.42 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 66c | 12,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.83 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 8,914$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.75 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 66c | 8,740$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.54 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 67c | 7,970$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 65c | 7,125$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 65c | 6,828$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.69 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 6,414$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 36c | 6,350$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 6,325$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.44 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…b512backed Yes | 28c | 4,773$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…9b67backed Yes | 10c | 4,746$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…408dbacked No | 70c | 4,604$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.95 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 65c | 3,619$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.73 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 3,422$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes | 10c | 3,410$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 34c | 3,171$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.43 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 3,100$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.96 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 3,027$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.88 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 2,755$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.68 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…0542backed Yes | 28c | 2,711$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 67c | 2,539$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.48 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 67c | 2,433$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.71 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 66c | 2,099$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.66 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 66c | 1,986$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.32 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 68c | 1,912$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.12 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 67c | 1,614$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 74c | 1,539$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…d087backed Yes | 34c | 1,486$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 66c | 1,420$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.71 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 37c | 1,359$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…e9dabacked Yes | 32c | 1,288$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…5cd1backed Yes | 33c | 1,231$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 67c | 1,066$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.77 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 67c | 1,064$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 32c | 1,063$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,052$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…4d96backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 999.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 66c | 999.95$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 937.42$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 2c | 913.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 12c | 905.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 64c | 888$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 36c | 819.44$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 10c | 803.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 31c | 798.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 32c | 784.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 33c | 767.91$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 67c | 747.75$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 30c | 707.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 17c | 699.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 67c | 698.22$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 72c | 694.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 691.54$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 631.97$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 32c | 616.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed No | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 23c | 600$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 67c | 599.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 597.93$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 34c | 591.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 33c | 567.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 67c | 561.85$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 16c | 520$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 66c | 516.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 31c | 503.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…fb9ebacked Yes | 32c | 478.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 7c | 458.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…8fc8backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.