TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No80c5,389$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.8958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.996221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c2,655$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.561,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes3c2,174$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2512450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.6911737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a0…2c5abacked No72c1,390$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes28c1,278$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8739842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes31c999.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes16c718.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c620$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c555$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.243427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes32c505$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes15c501.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.228427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No69c499.95$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.985060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x840a…8fc8backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes24c266$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8421354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes18c255.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.968027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No70c218.57$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes6c183.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c170$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.121460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes31c159$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No73c155.67$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes32c151.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484850%24 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes26c133.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.659841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff54…ccf0backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+99.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Yes36c109$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No77c103.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4324963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No70c93.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c92…956fbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3205…d8ccbacked No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes29c89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8116047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c84.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ed…cbbebacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes31c78.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No69c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.683354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x760d…deaabacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Yes31c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes25c59.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked No69c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Yes31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb354…32a6backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes30c49.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f3…dcdebacked Yes30c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed No69c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed No69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…6c37backed Yes30c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6024…d4f0backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No70c39.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128460.7%51 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.235538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c32.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1135860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30e…85d4backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed No69c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed No74c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f1…6710backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No70c25.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6313252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No71c24.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.188100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked No69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked No69c22.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed65…f85cbacked No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed No69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.