TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Pacers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,309,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,534,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,309,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Pacers39c971,919$381,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,948.838022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Suns62c446,088$275,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170,688.4320253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns63c201,447$127,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,868.752,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers27c200,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,999.9538248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Suns63c154,037$96,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,244.642,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers38c129,999$49,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,699.851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Suns60c125,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0006352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pacers20c100,048$20,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,231.7516942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Suns67c99,600$67,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,443.7219249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Suns61c66,032$40,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,752.4292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers27c65,420$17,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,553.134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers36c63,883$22,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,684.682,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Suns62c60,383$37,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,041.664456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Suns61c60,000$36,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,40014434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers20c60,000$12,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,207.8334645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Suns62c46,498$29,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,466.678744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c43,033$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3364517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers38c41,466$15,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,637.541,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers19c40,086$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,710.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns60c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Suns76c39,664$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,664.4348448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Pacers3c38,582$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.642845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Suns61c36,749$22,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,332.1820352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pacers9c32,552$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.0747751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Pacers38c31,917$12,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,241.162626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Suns62c30,350$18,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5336352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers8c29,671$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Suns76c28,026$21,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.6127917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers35c28,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Suns61c27,581$16,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,756.7772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers38c27,061$10,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,262.6166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Pacers37c26,464$9,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,782.233237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers23c25,152$5,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.2426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pacers40c24,988$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99510930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers37c23,892$8,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,780.9974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pacers2c22,587$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.3952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Suns63c22,500$14,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,39013345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd81…9640backed Suns63c20,250$12,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,492.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ba…eba1backed Pacers38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,600714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Suns61c19,997$12,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,798.8344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Suns66c17,288$11,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,811.4336148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns61c16,906$10,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,587.2269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Suns65c16,348$10,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.6322542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Suns61c15,775$9,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,212.845379.2%42 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Suns64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,62534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Suns61c14,754$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,754.112529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Pacers36c13,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.0411741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Suns76c13,158$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.895667.9%38 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Suns63c13,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,84078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Suns70c12,972$9,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.3373649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers14c12,736$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.181,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Suns64c12,416$7,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.2848944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Pacers39c12,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6805850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Pacers2c11,995$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6917147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f42…f445backed Pacers0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers18c10,663$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Suns62c10,659$6,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.3928063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Suns60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Suns63c9,145$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.5285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pacers40c8,717$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,486.9215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc707…cab7backed Pacers37c8,400$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Pacers36c8,334$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.2211443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Suns77c8,315$6,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.7476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Suns61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.8322458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Suns61c8,180$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.321553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Suns63c7,950$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.518151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pacers34c7,935$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.7727840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4987…804bbacked Suns72c7,535$5,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.23148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Suns62c7,501$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.7813558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596e…7b82backed Suns61c7,500$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed Pacers11c7,400$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8141770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Suns61c7,377$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.0516251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers1c7,330$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.17211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Pacers36c7,075$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.423125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers17c7,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Suns61c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers25c6,747$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.281,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Suns71c6,705$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.6410757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns78c6,404$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.521,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c5,956$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.468820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pacers38c5,816$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.671,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Suns66c5,587$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.8924634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns61c5,585$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Suns63c5,556$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.567050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pacers36c5,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Suns61c5,101$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.5815461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdffb…a16bbacked Suns64c5,100$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers2c5,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.998783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Suns63c4,992$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.833743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Pacers37c4,851$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.3111354%61 W · 52 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Pacers35c4,700$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6606254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers30c4,201$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.1535547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Suns63c4,200$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55414245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Suns64c4,192$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.1450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Pacers36c4,189$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50835651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…dec2backed Suns64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4404052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.