TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd36…a8acbacked Suns48c16,003$7,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,364.0118151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Suns49c11,637$5,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.6485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns46c11,340$5,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,123.61,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers50c11,330$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.742,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9934645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers54c8,077$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.1551350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pacers53c7,937$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167.8716942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pacers54c7,267$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.3920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Suns49c5,370$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.681,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Suns48c4,774$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.142,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Pacers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.937339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Suns50c3,429$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.5751753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers53c3,316$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.411,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers52c3,034$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.641,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Pacers54c2,220$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2008347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Suns50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Suns51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers52c1,306$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.313,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Suns47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.834454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Pacers54c1,050$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Suns50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Suns51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3927158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers51c943.91$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers51c891$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Suns51c823.53$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.539159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Suns47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Suns49c789$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3939449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns46c697.56$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.72,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers52c673.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers51c663.82$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers49c617.99$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.822,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3230…9cfcbacked Pacers51c610$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91df…e5d7backed Suns49c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.12657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Suns50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns48c530.65$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Suns47c508.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.862,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Suns47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26552844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Suns48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Suns51c497.27$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7720143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Suns51c487.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2324533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers7c425$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Suns50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Suns50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…b610backed Suns47c297.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Suns51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1212654.8%69 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Suns51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3af…8ac9backed Suns51c260.78$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.782458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Suns49c224.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4935851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Suns46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3915245.4%69 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns49c206.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.348645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Suns51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9826150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Suns49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x230a…59b1backed Suns50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Suns51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.640346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Suns49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.310760.7%65 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa53f…b4c8backed Suns50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Suns51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0432750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Suns51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0423550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Suns51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0416650%83 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b8…68a5backed Suns51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pacers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf921…94dbbacked Suns54c83.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.586749.3%33 W · 34 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Suns49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6321055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Suns49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Pacers50c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Suns52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9211251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Suns52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9210253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Suns47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8314764.6%95 W · 52 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb7…8d07backed Suns50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18de…0b64backed Suns50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305060%30 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Suns48c58.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3311853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Suns45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2535447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Suns51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.990560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Suns50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259165.9%60 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Suns50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Pacers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2a…845bbacked Suns51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.148557.6%49 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Suns51c39.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3319849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Suns51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2218742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Pacers51c36.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers31c36.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60c…3bf9backed Suns51c35.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec67…c2a6backed Suns51c29.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Suns51c26.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.977252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns49c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.263,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555e…6bb8backed Suns50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.