NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe04d00d4583955fe756b305268351fc17c64e34a2c410ff1af60cc181d39bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Suns | 44c | 47,495$20,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,722.26 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pacers | 57c | 29,918$17,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,053.25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Suns | 45c | 21,866$9,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,957.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 55c | 18,264$9,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,974.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Pacers | 57c | 13,790$7,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 54c | 13,751$7,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,474.83 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Suns | 46c | 12,345$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.29 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pacers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 43c | 6,175$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 55c | 5,991$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.95 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Pacers | 59c | 3,520$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.8 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 41c | 3,520$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.8 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pacers | 56c | 3,456$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.36 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 45c | 2,330$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pacers | 54c | 2,175$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Suns | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 56c | 1,089$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.05 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Suns | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Suns | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Suns | 43c | 1,052$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.64 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Suns | 43c | 1,043$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.51 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 55c | 988.06$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.03 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Pacers | 59c | 855.93$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 53c | 799.84$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 44c | 768.98$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Suns | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pacers | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…1bf9backed Suns | 47c | 460$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…880dbacked Pacers | 54c | 459$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…ac6fbacked Pacers | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Suns | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 49c | 397.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 56c | 395.23$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pacers | 55c | 388.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 45c | 319.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Suns | 46c | 299.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 32c | 286.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Suns | 48c | 276.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Suns | 44c | 276$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…48aebacked Suns | 66c | 270.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Suns | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Suns | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Pacers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Suns | 44c | 199$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 42c | 156.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Suns | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Suns | 42c | 118.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Suns | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Suns | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Suns | 43c | 105.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Pacers | 54c | 99.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 43c | 89.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Suns | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Suns | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Suns | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…7a09backed Suns | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pacers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8211…8981backed Suns | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pacers | 56c | 33.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Pacers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Suns | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Pacers | 60c | 25.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Suns | 46c | 25.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…8955backed Pacers | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)this page
- Pacers vs. SunsSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.