NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa243dddfb7e0de07c10e5b18bf9b2586ccf026720867cf14d444a29d5019a3df

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x389d…6365backed Over	3c	16,122$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	2,988$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.21	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x751a…9ea1backed Under	2c	1,364$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.53	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	37cpaid	+381.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under	49c	1,245$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.9	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	271	58.3%158 W · 113 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Under	49c	830.61$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.61	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa216…179bbacked Under	49c	810.2$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.2	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under	46c	543.48$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.48	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7776…7372backed Under	49c	510.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	349.98$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08dd…55b0backed Under	50c	278.4$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.2	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	42c	243.77$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.58	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under	45c	234.65$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.06	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	186.54$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.27	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Under	46c	108.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	50c	94.58$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.29	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Under	50c	85$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	63cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over	55c	57.93$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.86	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Under	48c	42.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.08	350	52%182 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	487	40.7%198 W · 289 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under	49c	36.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	155	60.6%94 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf2…06c2backed Under	54c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event