NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30c460a200376bae8ada26304282bd87e3744280b7d622af8de6ac92e3c46cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Over | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…03f4backed Over | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…50e8backed Under | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 18c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…4f2bbacked Under | 52c | 54.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 51.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…3789backed Under | 68c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 233.5this page
- Pacers vs. SunsSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.