NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870b54ce0f9988561731663ad5c415196f6b37471898a70ec57e68dce8ef24e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 3,548$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 59c | 1,519$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.28 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Over | 60c | 680.92$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.62 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 474.01$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed Over | 59c | 401.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…daa2backed Under | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 40c | 306.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 57c | 177$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Over | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…8ac9backed Over | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 58c | 63.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Over | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…d76dbacked Under | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5this page
- Pacers vs. SunsSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.