NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x921058dbffdebb42b6d9307658b9a5e6f75e856c52c29af9ecdcb2b99ee5784f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Pacers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Suns | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Pacers | 41c | 756$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 57c | 495$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 62c | 222.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…213abacked Pacers | 41c | 174$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…2b92backed Suns | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…4d81backed Pacers | 40c | 153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…8e70backed Pacers | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…c987backed Suns | 60c | 146$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…fc18backed Suns | 64c | 139$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pacers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Suns | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…4240backed Suns | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Pacers vs. SunsSuns won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.