Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd9ea202b8a382f014333031b5448bade393db03842226ea03e7631e0d9de63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 44c | 13,058$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.49 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 46c | 12,651$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 8,826$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.64 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 4,614$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.64 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 54c | 4,286$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.54 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 4,208$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.21 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 2,818$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.61 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 42c | 2,506$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 1,957$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.71 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 44c | 1,772$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 44c | 1,710$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 56c | 1,710$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 1,690$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.89 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 57c | 1,251$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 1,139$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.02 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 57c | 808.77$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 44c | 762.52$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 57c | 719.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 44c | 689$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 636.62$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.84 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 587$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 477.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 420.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 43c | 399.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 57c | 389.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 9c | 358$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 335.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 56c | 327$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 44c | 320.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 57c | 305.93$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 42c | 231.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 58c | 228.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 13c | 223.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 40c | 179.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…5ca1backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 57c | 171.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 58c | 168.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2e6cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…6fcabacked Yes | 57c | 154.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 8c | 154$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…a292backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 57c | 126.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 41c | 111.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 110.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd3…7e19backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked No | 42c | 94.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 27c | 90.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed Yes | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 57c | 78.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 77c | 75.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f4…236fbacked Yes | 59c | 67.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked No | 18c | 67.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 57c | 58.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.