TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc75…a292

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 64 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$1,551.85
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$10.82
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$46.52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$34.03
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$78.95
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.1
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$161.01
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$209.6
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$194.44
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+90.5%+$1,827.78
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.8%+$1,137.5
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+101.1%+$505.38
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+237.4%+$2,374.38
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+233.3%+$391.05
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$836.18
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$210
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+264.7%+$1,244.29
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,449.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+148.8%+$119.6
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$164.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$96.6
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$223.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.83
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$57.32
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.53per pick35cpaid+416.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-59.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Flames vs. Wildbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.3%+$229.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$95.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$165
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$107.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$675
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,354.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.