TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Utah, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$374,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$377,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…0a01backed Senators50c126,370$62,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,562.0721652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah50c75,493$37,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,602.211,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Utah49c61,160$29,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,973.1713553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c9…b70bbacked Utah0c32,450$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Utah51c28,870$14,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,723.911955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah52c19,916$10,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,310.241,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Senators50c18,160$9,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,080.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Utah50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0005644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators49c12,901$6,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,579.5157453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators49c12,500$6,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3301,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators54c9,001$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.611,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Senators51c8,995$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,407.5470547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Senators50c8,174$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.210456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Utah50c8,023$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.5813449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Senators50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73c…3b19backed Senators50c5,883$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Senators50c5,730$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,86530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ab…efe2backed Senators52c5,669$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95b…8400backed Utah48c5,660$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Utah49c5,464$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.0641246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e39…3122backed Utah51c5,288$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah49c4,608$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.9288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators50c4,569$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.3363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Utah49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Utah50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Senators51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5729651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Utah51c3,669$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.1926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Senators51c3,373$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.6648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Senators51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators50c2,801$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.581,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Senators51c2,735$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.1515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…5023backed Senators50c2,600$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah41c2,581$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.232,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah51c2,443$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.3243743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Senators50c2,230$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Senators50c2,210$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.316346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Utah49c2,142$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…189fbacked Senators51c2,125$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Utah50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Senators68c1,966$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.6533848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…b9f6backed Senators52c1,956$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b0…5d36backed Utah49c1,956$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah49c1,919$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Senators51c1,699$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.513652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Utah52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf4…d167backed Utah51c1,325$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.183658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Senators49c1,212$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.236055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators50c1,183$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.171,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Senators48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Utah51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Utah49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5288…0439backed Utah50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Utah49c982$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1858841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Senators51c710$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Utah29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Senators51c686.79$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Senators50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Senators50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Utah49c600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29112244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…d5bcbacked Senators48c599.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.997450%37 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Senators50c586.46$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2319851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Senators50c557$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab7…d255backed Utah5c547.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators56c518.82$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.053,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Senators50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25021147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Senators49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9933837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Senators51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.222051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567f…bf24backed Utah50c434$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…dbe6backed Senators51c430$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…6ad9backed Utah50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…ee09backed Senators51c416$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Utah49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Senators61c399.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Senators51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1610250%51 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1a…4877backed Senators51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2e…868bbacked Utah50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Utah3c383.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc826…208ebacked Senators51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9912…4f03backed Utah54c372.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Utah27c360$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.662544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Utah5c359.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah8c350.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed Senators52c323.08$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.084967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e01…aae8backed Utah49c322.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.252250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Senators51c307$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4313158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Senators49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15375946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5406…6950backed Senators51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.12988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+67.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b83…64fabacked Utah51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3a…116cbacked Utah50c275$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Utah51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Utah51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccf…c2cebacked Utah51c270.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ba…ad79backed Senators50c270$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…0b6abacked Utah49c270$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d12…2e54backed Senators51c265$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…ec37backed Utah50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.