Middle East · resolved market
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7cd1050a0c87baebe5e6008260d14b2a9d6d705cf7e7daac1be94ad5253b27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,414,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,414,611 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 801 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 2,409,328$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.33 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc98backed No | 0c | 300,028$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…b753backed No | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +845.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 27c | 214,864$57,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,847.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…931fbacked No | 0c | 207,727$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…5f55backed No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 0c | 167,326$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.33 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…f3ecbacked No | 0c | 154,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed No | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62f…dea4backed No | 0c | 139,920$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…d9d0backed No | 0c | 133,400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 54c | 116,423$62,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,858.81 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…7acdbacked No | 0c | 108,900$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…a05ebacked No | 0c | 103,590$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…34f1backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…c608backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…6aecbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…1743backed No | 0c | 99,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…a009backed No | 0c | 99,970$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5b30backed No | 0c | 99,700$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…7cc7backed No | 6c | 98,825$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 0c | 81,440$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…33fbbacked No | 0c | 78,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed No | 0c | 72,725$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…fad4backed No | 0c | 71,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…2930backed No | 0c | 70,484$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked No | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa120…ee64backed No | 0c | 64,045$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 72c | 63,988$46,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,057 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…3db0backed No | 16c | 61,349$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…f6dbbacked No | 77c | 58,074$44,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,928.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 12c | 56,814$7,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,734.45 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed No | 0c | 54,390$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked No | 0c | 54,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8f…9200backed No | 0c | 52,680$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4b…4a0ebacked No | 0c | 52,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…47cebacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…fa95backed No | 0c | 49,900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 45c | 49,857$22,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,616.33 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…873ebacked No | 0c | 46,735$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…073bbacked Yes | 30c | 45,190$13,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,658.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcc…db04backed No | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…a348backed No | 0c | 45,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked Yes | 25c | 40,385$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,212.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…b136backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 0c | 37,965$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 20c | 37,300$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,890.94 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…1996backed No | 0c | 37,296$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0e…06f9backed No | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…19a0backed No | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…c3dabacked No | 0c | 33,430$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked No | 0c | 32,259$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 14c | 32,033$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,691.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…6e96backed No | 0c | 32,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 5c | 30,990$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,452.78 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…a0d6backed No | 0c | 30,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8dfcbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…ab5ebacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…3dbdbacked No | 0c | 29,404$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…354abacked No | 0c | 29,370$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…bf7bbacked Yes | 24c | 28,927$6,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,991.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 47c | 26,460$12,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,036.63 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed No | 0c | 25,660$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…2e32backed No | 0c | 25,615$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 23c | 25,007$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,209.57 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…214abacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…c7e4backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 46c | 24,930$11,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,457.55 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…2d89backed No | 0c | 24,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed No | 0c | 24,579$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…f5ffbacked No | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…af17backed No | 0c | 23,821$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked No | 0c | 23,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…b43ebacked No | 0c | 23,370$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2c16backed No | 0c | 23,270$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…0f2fbacked No | 0c | 22,654$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…01b5backed No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…4f7bbacked No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…7f39backed No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…9677backed No | 0c | 20,830$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…11d5backed No | 0c | 20,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d84…2c67backed No | 0c | 20,030$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…176cbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…7195backed No | 0c | 20,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…faaebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…44f1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…739bbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…b37abacked No | 0c | 19,980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…4183backed No | 0c | 19,960$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…ebb4backed No | 0c | 19,942$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed No | 0c | 19,892$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 8c | 19,086$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,551.32 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed No | 0c | 18,663$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 18c | 18,488$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,212.59 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.