Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32d1d6fe5f058318aded03463bc6f2cab391e993d117f62ea8b87a9f31e756da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 61c | 60,000$36,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,552.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 40c | 26,385$10,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,831 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 24,818$10,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,642.74 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 21,400$8,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,054.07 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 45c | 17,692$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,785.94 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 13,189$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,328.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 60c | 6,624$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.45 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 60c | 6,537$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 6,018$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.04 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 5,945$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.25 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 3,676$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.97 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 39c | 2,697$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.04 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 40c | 2,611$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 52c | 2,459$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.71 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 59c | 2,298$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 2,129$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.71 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 60c | 2,014$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 60c | 1,948$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.92 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 40c | 1,601$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 1,365$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.94 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 41c | 1,210$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 1,010$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.86 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 60c | 973.79$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 947.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.06 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 39c | 807.64$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 60c | 786.68$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 40c | 598$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 570.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.81 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 61c | 540.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 60c | 539$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…f1f3backed Yes | 49c | 505$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 59c | 417$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.03 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 38c | 416.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.96 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 60c | 415.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 19c | 410.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 408$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 39c | 385.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.91 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 56c | 357.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 311.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 59c | 306.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 274.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 57c | 262.86$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 59c | 252.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 39c | 249.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 60c | 247.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 60c | 225.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 43c | 219.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 47c | 199.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 59c | 179.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…f590backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3470backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 153$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 59c | 149.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 42c | 149.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…8988backed Yes | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 62c | 139.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 59c | 130.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 128$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…a292backed Yes | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 39c | 115$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 39c | 115$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Yes | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 57c | 112$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 40c | 110.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 69c | 107.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 71c | 99.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…63babacked Yes | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.