Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3df9aa7b133ece96a33d8675a7accc5cb1165e319803bda3b5f020578a352fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,361,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,345,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 10c | 627,759$64,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,904.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed No | 6c | 35,297$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked No | 4c | 25,990$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46b…5635backed No | 6c | 17,828$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…39f9backed No | 6c | 16,848$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…bb93backed No | 6c | 15,908$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 9,046$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.35 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed No | 1c | 8,888$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 8,418$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 68c | 7,302$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 6,655$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed No | 31c | 5,770$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed No | 4c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.56 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 1c | 4,185$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 66c | 3,751$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked No | 42c | 3,330$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 1c | 3,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…aa38backed Yes | 47c | 2,864$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 2,359$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed No | 28c | 1,807$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…f25fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,764$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…25dbbacked No | 3c | 1,724$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…aecdbacked No | 37c | 1,653$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 25c | 1,604$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…a292backed No | 33c | 1,521$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed No | 4c | 1,402$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked No | 48c | 1,346$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 10c | 1,324$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…3bb7backed No | 2c | 1,295$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…1839backed No | 7c | 1,265$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…3bd4backed Yes | 64c | 1,230$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 16c | 1,200$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 1c | 1,111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…41e5backed No | 65c | 1,010$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed No | 9c | 1,007$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…4a7bbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…5458backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 62c | 999.98$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.39 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +126%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac4…ca67backed No | 3c | 900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 56c | 891.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 881.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 60c | 881.64$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…6aa2backed No | 24c | 845.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…0154backed Yes | 36c | 839.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked Yes | 57c | 832$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…3a9fbacked No | 7c | 822.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed No | 4c | 800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 41c | 732$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 54c | 729.03$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed No | 60c | 706.84$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…9f3abacked Yes | 66c | 695.23$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 1c | 693.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…e840backed No | 17c | 655.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed No | 3c | 586.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 33c | 567.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…5b85backed No | 4c | 562.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked No | 14c | 557.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…dfc0backed No | 3c | 520.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 33c | 520$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed No | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…4513backed Yes | 61c | 492.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…42dcbacked No | 3c | 480$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 38c | 465.48$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed No | 21c | 465.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 62c | 454.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…ced0backed No | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…d114backed No | 3c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 5c | 399.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed No | 9c | 370$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 14c | 369.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 35c | 365.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.19 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 38c | 364.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 13c | 337$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed No | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…ede0backed Yes | 67c | 322.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 16c | 307.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…6f3bbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…e857backed No | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked No | 9c | 299.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 60c | 296.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 58c | 290$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…8fc2backed No | 32c | 286.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 280.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 41c | 230$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 5c | 213.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 65c | 204.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…8f8dbacked Yes | 44c | 202$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…8647backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc68…bf42backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 62c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Yes | 32c | 191.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.