NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590a84c95fc2274186916113f1acca69638666a88343914b130b58e1099f8d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Flames, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flames | 34c | 60,000$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,100 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wild | 66c | 56,855$37,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,320.6 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 42c | 38,578$16,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,202.67 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Wild | 58c | 34,358$19,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,430.36 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Wild | 58c | 25,167$14,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.14 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 42c | 20,027$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.38 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 39c | 14,579$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flames | 41c | 12,819$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255.77 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Wild | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Flames | 42c | 10,116$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 59c | 8,995$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.95 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2647…5cc5backed Wild | 59c | 8,397$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…5477backed Flames | 41c | 8,382$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 43c | 6,684$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.12 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wild | 58c | 6,132$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.06 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Wild | 57c | 5,555$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.65 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wild | 55c | 4,916$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.54 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 42c | 4,888$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.13 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Wild | 61c | 4,672$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wild | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Flames | 45c | 3,469$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.3 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flames | 42c | 3,337$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.24 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Wild | 58c | 2,584$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.42 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wild | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 42c | 2,407$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 57c | 2,326$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.17 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Flames | 43c | 2,294$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.92 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 31c | 2,274$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.22 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Flames | 46c | 2,176$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wild | 59c | 1,845$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.35 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 59c | 1,693$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.49 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Wild | 57c | 1,643$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.63 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flames | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 42c | 1,368$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.88 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 41c | 1,233$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flames | 42c | 1,157$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.93 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 14c | 1,144$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.43 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…5023backed Wild | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5288…0439backed Flames | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Wild | 57c | 999.62$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 60c | 769$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Wild | 78c | 714.62$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…0d74backed Wild | 58c | 667.24$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…dbd7backed Wild | 58c | 538.54$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Flames | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 19c | 496.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 39c | 472.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 58c | 463$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.46 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 42c | 430.37$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 43c | 391.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 41c | 354.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 13c | 325.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Flames | 41c | 303.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Wild | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Flames | 17c | 288.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wild | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Flames | 40c | 273.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Wild | 57c | 271.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…95ecbacked Wild | 58c | 267.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…40c1backed Flames | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Wild | 57c | 259.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Wild | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flames | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Flames | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…a292backed Flames | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 78c | 231.87$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Flames | 23c | 228.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…ad79backed Wild | 59c | 227.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…0e17backed Flames | 43c | 227.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 36c | 211.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…6be9backed Flames | 43c | 206.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d7…d252backed Wild | 59c | 206.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Wild | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Wild | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…b099backed Wild | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Wild | 59c | 196.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…2aecbacked Wild | 59c | 194.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…a98fbacked Flames | 43c | 194.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wild | 59c | 194$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Flames | 10c | 186.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…b176backed Flames | 40c | 186$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…0184backed Wild | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe85…d1fbbacked Wild | 60c | 184$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…5bc5backed Flames | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Wild | 58c | 175.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Flames | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Wild | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…eafdbacked Wild | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…78bdbacked Flames | 43c | 170.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Wild | 59c | 170.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe874…63f8backed Wild | 59c | 170.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…7d52backed Wild | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…d183backed Flames | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Flames | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.