Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8318f06cfdae25baa28c208ee77aed68ef77d87eec1ac0ecdb8c141a870ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,156,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,404,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,156,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 125,837$39,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,915.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 77c | 77,851$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,851.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Yes | 75c | 75,479$56,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,882.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 23c | 61,878$14,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,322.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 41c | 59,349$24,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,075.55 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 10c | 36,690$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.03 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 60c | 31,666$19,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,560.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 11c | 31,524$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 11c | 30,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 48c | 27,243$13,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,083.76 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…79a6backed Yes | 68c | 26,928$18,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 24,961$8,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,418.94 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 24,092$8,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,929.17 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 10c | 18,133$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.28 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 15,007$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 14,933$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.45 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 64c | 10,544$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 67c | 7,873$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.1 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 7,738$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.16 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 38c | 6,365$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 12c | 4,983$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 60c | 4,417$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 73c | 4,301$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 54c | 4,019$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 66c | 3,813$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 25c | 3,646$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 3,360$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.17 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…eaf9backed No | 13c | 3,295$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 10c | 3,181$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 64c | 3,148$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 11c | 3,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 11c | 3,038$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.16 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…1b70backed Yes | 75c | 2,999$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…f9fbbacked No | 2c | 2,707$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed Yes | 66c | 2,500$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 79c | 2,272$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,200$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 11c | 2,128$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 47c | 2,118$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 67c | 2,101$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 67c | 2,096$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 62c | 2,070$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,053$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,002$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.54 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 35c | 1,908$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…5030backed Yes | 75c | 1,899$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 35c | 1,863$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 37c | 1,830$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 20c | 1,789$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…c898backed Yes | 58c | 1,719$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 59c | 1,694$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 59c | 1,683$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…d853backed Yes | 63c | 1,581$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,478$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 1,476$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.81 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 75c | 1,193$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Yes | 73c | 1,185$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 1,178$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.73 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 11c | 1,120$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 75c | 1,082$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 30c | 1,029$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 78c | 1,019$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 77c | 1,004$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Yes | 53c | 999.97$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 59c | 983.48$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 973.43$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 12c | 950$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 67c | 931.32$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 52c | 900$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 59c | 855.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 10c | 837.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked No | 17c | 800$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 72c | 789.64$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.75 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 54c | 766.67$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 69c | 740.61$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 10c | 699.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 58c | 691.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 7c | 671$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 12c | 646.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 66c | 618.18$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.18 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 71c | 616.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.