Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfabb1f7ef63476705ed18a273cbe5fba4d7232fcf2b8d3ed4d7ee113210cbc1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 26c | 45,114$11,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,499.37 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 74c | 27,336$20,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,287.03 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 40c | 12,517$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.93 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 11,670$7,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,397.19 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 29c | 7,426$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.16 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 72c | 6,126$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.37 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 4,550$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.44 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 26c | 3,665$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.87 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,628$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Yes | 27c | 2,250$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 30c | 1,980$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.01 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 33c | 1,809$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 1,642$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.55 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,538$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.76 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,445$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…b333backed Yes | 25c | 1,037$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 976.57$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.46 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed Yes | 60c | 901$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 790.32$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 26c | 779$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…83e0backed No | 75c | 624$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed No | 76c | 550$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 513$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.19 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…a4d3backed Yes | 25c | 512$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…e277backed Yes | 25c | 487$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…c340backed No | 75c | 413$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 76c | 368.42$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 69c | 366.61$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 26c | 357.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 350$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3e03backed No | 75c | 344$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 76c | 342.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed No | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 303.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 58c | 300$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 75c | 214.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 67c | 195.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 175.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed No | 75c | 172$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 62c | 160.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked No | 75c | 143$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes | 26c | 139.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…a292backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 19c | 131.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 39c | 129.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 67c | 104.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 65c | 92.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 72.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 34c | 68.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 22c | 48.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…2e09backed No | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 37.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed No | 76c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked No | 76c | 21.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…ba4bbacked Yes | 75c | 13.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.