TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No53c55,873$29,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,127.733,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes47c40,000$18,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,761.233357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes50c19,996$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.177447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c16,013$8,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,755.2475142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5664…4843backed No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c5,620$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.687648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.992737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09c6…4cb8backed No50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c3,133$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.3953645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.988637.2%32 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No47c2,335$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.6444749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes52c2,099$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.5810445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c1,903$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.622,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes42c1,427$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1510728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ea…26eabacked Yes4c1,288$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes8c1,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-85.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes17c1,125$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.493420.6%7 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No48c1,100$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57556547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes9c1,077$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes22c1,068$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No49c999.94$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.973050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes45c999.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.81040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No46c995$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.312651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes55c956.18$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.7219347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Yes52c937.5$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No49c813.71$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.992867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c799$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5833945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c798$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.7215134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c585$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.578248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c517.57$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5555058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes26c514.57$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c511.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.422669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No72c509.31$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0213332.3%43 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cc…1934backed No39c505.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes61c489$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.291631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-47%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No53c455.74$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.753050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes29c414.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204949%24 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No50c413.64$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9751136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes51c394.08$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No49c383.15$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4111036.4%40 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes52c346.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes53c327$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3123046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909621.9%21 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes52c294$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8810235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes51c250.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8334342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes51c247.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.431850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c234.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0916542.4%70 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes52c226.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7710040%40 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked No54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No51c216.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.53961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No79c210$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.113139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No75c210$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.519458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes51c207.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbedc…f590backed Yes52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd036…a17cbacked Yes51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+108.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23ea…3470backed Yes51c194.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7e…d934backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes40c184.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes53c184$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed No51c175$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No49c152.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.98169.1%56 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No55c132.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.094452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No62c113.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.033455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Yes46c105.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.