AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8da1b42514326113bfacc19f2a12431e66e5e55ed9d8978ee146b35b1618c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e37…1e69backed Yes | 36c | 38,582$13,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,727.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 19c | 29,736$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538.88 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 78c | 20,389$15,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 15c | 14,097$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.13 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 29c | 13,931$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.86 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 13c | 13,884$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.09 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,034$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 10,061$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.43 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…260bbacked Yes | 11c | 8,814$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 12c | 7,837$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.29 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 54c | 7,029$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.51 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked Yes | 57c | 6,932$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…89cebacked Yes | 62c | 5,263$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 5,042$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.06 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 51c | 4,910$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 4,496$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.44 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,366$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 61c | 3,858$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 77c | 3,650$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 3,620$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.55 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…7783backed Yes | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 17c | 3,122$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.21 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…12dfbacked Yes | 20c | 2,763$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 6c | 2,622$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 62c | 2,520$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.73 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 38c | 2,506$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…f11abacked Yes | 59c | 2,484$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…99c7backed Yes | 20c | 2,463$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…4d22backed Yes | 48c | 2,431$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 13c | 2,345$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed No | 46c | 2,260$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.34 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 38c | 2,168$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.22 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed No | 11c | 2,055$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 1,883$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.61 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 23c | 1,858$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 77c | 1,823$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 50c | 1,777$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.77 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,771$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked No | 48c | 1,735$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.21 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked Yes | 10c | 1,713$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3f35backed Yes | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a451backed Yes | 5c | 1,694$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +458.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,617$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…aec4backed Yes | 13c | 1,536$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 47c | 1,526$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,505$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 44c | 1,423$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.45 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,408$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 47c | 1,381$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.06 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 47c | 1,345$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.45 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed Yes | 59c | 1,335$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,320$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…c73dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,316$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,308$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,306$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 62c | 1,299$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 76c | 1,283$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,275$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.11 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked No | 45c | 1,266$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 67c | 1,225$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.64 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 68c | 1,223$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.43 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…9559backed Yes | 23c | 1,118$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 77c | 1,111$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,096$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…7c2ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,078$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…558abacked No | 31c | 1,067$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +314.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,057$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Yes | 62c | 1,045$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 1,024$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…8ff2backed Yes | 20c | 995.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes | 21c | 985.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 2c | 978$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes | 2c | 976.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 79c | 950.06$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…b154backed Yes | 61c | 948.98$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 929.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…3e9ebacked Yes | 22c | 909.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…d07cbacked Yes | 20c | 889.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 59c | 885.48$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…a21fbacked No | 34c | 873.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Yes | 29c | 865.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes | 26c | 862.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.73 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 30c | 853$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 59c | 846.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked No | 19c | 843.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 8c | 837$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…03c1backed Yes | 32c | 829.04$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 27c | 828.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.12 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…2a3ebacked Yes | 53c | 825.03$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…f2b7backed No | 60c | 821.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 41c | 818.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed No | 10c | 779.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.3 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…a80abacked Yes | 54c | 748.52$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.