AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e62ed6a8757d8a92a1530f4ec2bf55fdf7b4090a321bad295926850b594963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $575,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 74c | 28,056$20,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 73c | 20,374$14,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 63c | 14,089$8,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.79 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 42c | 10,634$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 64c | 10,189$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.63 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 16c | 8,516$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.26 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 8,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 66c | 7,363$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 57c | 5,457$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.88 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked Yes | 23c | 5,444$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.55 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 37c | 5,405$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.69 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 74c | 4,997$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 36c | 4,900$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 27c | 4,829$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.66 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 73c | 4,324$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.21 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 4,300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 75c | 4,295$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 6c | 3,960$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +310.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed Yes | 78c | 3,901$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 70c | 3,660$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.49 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 38c | 3,649$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.91 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 23c | 3,336$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.86 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…8c8bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,253$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…2b75backed No | 6c | 3,246$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…a80abacked No | 62c | 3,232$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 9c | 3,178$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 60c | 3,100$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.72 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked No | 1c | 3,006$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 2,964$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.64 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…eb1bbacked No | 62c | 2,907$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 2,883$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.94 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 15c | 2,645$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.02 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 77c | 2,497$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b0…ce9ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,445$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125d…b5b7backed Yes | 39c | 2,344$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 2,187$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.01 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…2609backed Yes | 10c | 2,074$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 41c | 2,066$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 70c | 2,025$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.44 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adf…8718backed Yes | 41c | 2,023$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…c98fbacked No | 23c | 1,878$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…1d22backed Yes | 5c | 1,848$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +220.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,800$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,781$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 75c | 1,669$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 26c | 1,645$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 77c | 1,632$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 3c | 1,622$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 31c | 1,600$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Yes | 6c | 1,579$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.92 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,530$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…a21fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,529$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.03 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 1,495$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,482$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.25 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 44c | 1,468$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 13c | 1,460$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…d410backed Yes | 9c | 1,423$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 44c | 1,406$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.19 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 12c | 1,357$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 1,351$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.85 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…71fcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,276$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 1,236$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,231$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a451backed Yes | 7c | 1,210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +458.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…7c38backed Yes | 41c | 1,209$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 64c | 1,200$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,191$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 69c | 1,184$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…929fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,151$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…1041backed Yes | 7c | 1,142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,111$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 1,108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 80c | 1,100$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…8104backed Yes | 14c | 1,076$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 25c | 1,074$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 11c | 1,065$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 978.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…8a33backed Yes | 62c | 971.76$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 2c | 954.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed No | 2c | 949.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4144…b82abacked Yes | 38c | 928.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 4c | 922.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 72c | 891.68$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 60c | 846.35$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 57c | 833.4$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 69c | 819.41$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 817.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 26c | 802.17$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…5ca6backed Yes | 4c | 799.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,757.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 75c | 751.71$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5306backed Yes | 5c | 748.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +462%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 27c | 746.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 41c | 744.79$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 719.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Yes | 78c | 699.7$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.