AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55890cef43397f341312886b61e0b254e83d59941de649bfa9554af51e986eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 19,793$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 16,181$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.94 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 2c | 12,284$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…fec4backed Yes | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,460$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2d58backed Yes | 35c | 10,255$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 19c | 9,051$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 7,742$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…939fbacked No | 65c | 7,620$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7be…9105backed No | 65c | 7,555$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…30f4backed No | 65c | 7,080$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 6,963$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 1c | 6,336$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…be65backed Yes | 2c | 6,140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…8c8bbacked Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 5,754$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,463$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,977$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 69c | 4,717$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.87 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,689$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…0ea0backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,343$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.71 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…e921backed Yes | 37c | 4,065$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 1c | 4,020$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…a9b8backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 2c | 3,614$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 1c | 3,567$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…8d1abacked Yes | 1c | 3,465$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,316$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 3c | 3,188$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 17c | 3,081$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…16bfbacked Yes | 43c | 2,992$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…7de2backed Yes | 3c | 2,807$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…fbf4backed Yes | 0c | 2,703$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 7c | 2,664$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,661$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 1c | 2,621$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…2ef0backed Yes | 2c | 2,490$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 2c | 2,380$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,346$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.32 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,194$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8f…1cb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,077$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 2,014$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.31 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 1,986$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…d95abacked Yes | 5c | 1,847$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,844$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked Yes | 2c | 1,766$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…64cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,740$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed Yes | 4c | 1,700$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…3535backed Yes | 3c | 1,695$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…3533backed Yes | 2c | 1,682$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,601$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…6778backed Yes | 3c | 1,591$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 1c | 1,484$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,479$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…a77abacked Yes | 1c | 1,461$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,428$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…6b20backed Yes | 36c | 1,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 2c | 1,310$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…a21fbacked No | 66c | 1,276$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…eb14backed Yes | 2c | 1,263$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,232$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 78c | 1,054$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 4c | 987.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 12c | 986.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…046abacked Yes | 3c | 981.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…488ebacked Yes | 5c | 970.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +218.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc27…fb61backed Yes | 4c | 969.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…18eabacked Yes | 2c | 969.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed Yes | 7c | 912.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 896.38$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 64c | 887.52$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…fec1backed Yes | 12c | 848.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…a33bbacked Yes | 2c | 836.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…360abacked Yes | 4c | 826.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 5c | 800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e3…bf65backed Yes | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…bfc4backed Yes | 20c | 798.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…af06backed Yes | 47c | 775.28$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked Yes | 13c | 774.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…4050backed Yes | 1c | 743.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…d07cbacked Yes | 3c | 742.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 12c | 699.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…1edebacked Yes | 41c | 672.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…d1a0backed Yes | 3c | 592.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 63c | 579.91$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 28c | 572.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…2609backed Yes | 26c | 558.34$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 3c | 550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…2cc0backed Yes | 38c | 542.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Yes | 10c | 540.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…506cbacked Yes | 38c | 528.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.