NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd561406e6060b07fab8a1f56a6ebda5b5efe187c3b63250667dde062b954318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Capitals, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,247,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,247,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 833 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Capitals | 44c | 340,910$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,000.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Senators | 60c | 217,584$131,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,100.35 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 44c | 137,000$60,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,280.09 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Senators | 56c | 125,433$70,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,190.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Senators | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Senators | 57c | 47,044$26,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,228.89 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 56c | 46,378$25,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,406.33 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 58c | 33,912$19,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,262.72 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Capitals | 42c | 32,903$13,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,819.47 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Capitals | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 43c | 18,515$7,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,957.37 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Capitals | 43c | 13,425$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,813.77 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.97 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Senators | 56c | 12,138$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.64 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 36c | 12,006$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fd…9d53backed Capitals | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 44c | 11,912$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.06 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 50c | 11,887$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,947.1 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Capitals | 45c | 10,725$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.38 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 59c | 10,427$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.39 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Senators | 58c | 9,571$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.82 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Senators | 37c | 9,048$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 29c | 8,941$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.8 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Capitals | 49c | 8,888$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.08 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Capitals | 44c | 8,432$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.14 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Senators | 56c | 7,968$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 44c | 7,620$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.28 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Capitals | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.94 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…7762backed Senators | 43c | 6,122$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Capitals | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Capitals | 24c | 5,621$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.26 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…ea96backed Capitals | 44c | 5,318$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…d8eebacked Senators | 56c | 5,287$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 56c | 5,175$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Capitals | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Senators | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.96 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals | 1c | 4,931$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 55c | 4,901$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.39 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…05c3backed Senators | 56c | 4,720$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144a…6f1fbacked Capitals | 44c | 4,677$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Senators | 56c | 4,641$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.07 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Capitals | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Senators | 56c | 4,359$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.96 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Capitals | 43c | 4,269$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.26 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Senators | 52c | 4,180$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.12 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0afebacked Capitals | 43c | 4,100$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Senators | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…689dbacked Senators | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…84bbbacked Capitals | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.96 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Senators | 56c | 3,988$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.73 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Capitals | 49c | 3,876$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.04 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Capitals | 23c | 3,854$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Capitals | 41c | 3,794$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.82 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6655backed Capitals | 43c | 3,747$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 43c | 3,611$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.6 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Senators | 56c | 3,508$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.27 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 60c | 3,369$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.4 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Senators | 79c | 3,187$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Senators | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Senators | 57c | 2,807$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.02 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 43c | 2,790$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Senators | 56c | 2,751$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Capitals | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Capitals | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 16c | 2,376$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.8 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Capitals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 43c | 2,226$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…610abacked Senators | 56c | 2,144$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…7977backed Capitals | 44c | 2,135$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Senators | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Capitals | 30c | 1,953$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 42c | 1,952$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Capitals | 43c | 1,825$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Capitals | 33c | 1,799$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.17 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Senators | 47c | 1,793$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.78 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Capitals | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Senators | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,718$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.54 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 57c | 1,713$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Senators | 56c | 1,695$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Capitals | 43c | 1,645$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.22 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators | 56c | 1,600$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.65 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3af…749fbacked Senators | 57c | 1,591$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Capitals | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b4…aed7backed Capitals | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…5cacbacked Senators | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…6e39backed Senators | 52c | 1,497$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…c256backed Capitals | 48c | 1,497$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2cdcbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,497$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…794abacked Senators | 52c | 1,496$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…5076backed Senators | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ae…c7b4backed Capitals | 48c | 1,494$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…754bbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,494$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077b…0f61backed Senators | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…ba9abacked Senators | 52c | 1,491$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…f77dbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,491$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Senatorsthis page
- Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.