NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f119bbec5836db734457eb9ce1c977d3cd85874e232e95f610f0801931e58c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 56c | 42,151$23,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,604.81 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 45c | 11,534$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.94 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 61c | 6,534$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.9 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 3,562$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 3,452$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,540$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 56c | 2,301$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.49 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 6c | 2,254$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Under | 4c | 1,600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 54c | 1,519$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.31 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 779.81$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.46 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 54c | 727$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 55c | 700.83$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.46 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 54c | 679.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 443.92$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 11c | 422$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.58 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 45c | 400.72$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.44 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Under | 66c | 380$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 54c | 367.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 264.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 45c | 211.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 58c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Under | 58c | 184.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Under | 53c | 137.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 57c | 135.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 134.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 43c | 115.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…c7febacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 99.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 45c | 95.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 72.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 32c | 64.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 32c | 64.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…c2bbbacked Over | 31c | 48.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 57c | 42.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 32c | 37.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 58c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.