TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd32…8580

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 62 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+55.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.65
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30.7%+$9.52
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.5
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.96
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.41
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$6.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.75
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.5
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+51.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs petardka (BO3)backed petardka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.