NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ef6f064ee46a76f7179a78be44f3738f6bfe7a3aaa60aad0dfe0ca9bc7de09

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $971,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $971,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,913 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over	52c	608,516$319,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289,484.38	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under	48c	300,000$143,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143,000	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	46c	190,000$87,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87,599.99	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under	45c	110,000$49,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,499.99	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over	55c	91,218$50,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,717.53	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over	54c	76,561$41,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,217.93	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	52c	39,298$20,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,821.4	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	36,498$17,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,484.09	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	55c	35,901$19,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,155.65	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	47c	32,500$15,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,125	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	28,144$13,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,495.78	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under	47c	19,366$9,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,198.26	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	48c	17,567$8,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,409.34	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Under	47c	12,766$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	130	63.8%83 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	12,195$5,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,818.08	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over	50c	9,310$4,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,655.19	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under	46c	9,000$4,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,109.79	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Under	46c	8,546$3,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,931.32	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	48c	6,687$3,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,209.76	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	48c	6,223$2,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,974.77	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	54c	5,792$3,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,664.29	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under	46c	5,435$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under	46c	5,222$2,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,402.12	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	48c	5,204$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,497.92	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170b…3d20backed Under	49c	5,105$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under	48c	4,500$2,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,155	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under	48c	3,950$1,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876.5	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under	48c	3,864$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,854.78	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	3,819$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828.73	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under	50c	3,544$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,772	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under	50c	3,500$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-6.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under	48c	3,465$1,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,656	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under	50c	2,660$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	48c	2,497$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.56	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	46c	2,313$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	49c	2,222$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.44	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	46c	2,093$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.78	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Under	47c	2,080$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under	47c	1,820$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.63	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Under	47c	1,800$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under	47c	1,600$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under	47c	1,500$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.81	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	47c	1,446$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.77	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	50c	1,394$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.57	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	49c	1,360$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.12	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under	46c	1,200$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	47c	1,068$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.92	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	49c	1,002$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.67	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over	52c	968.48$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.48	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	50c	880.62$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.14	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Over	56c	764.79$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.18	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	47c	760$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.2	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	48c	680.06$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.48	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Under	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under	48c	506$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.88	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	48c	458.78$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.59	317	45.4%144 W · 173 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8b…b6f1backed Over	55c	435.88$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.88	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	37c	413.54$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.07	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Under	48c	412.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	47c	400$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.91	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	48c	389.64$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.55	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Under	49c	323.48$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under	49c	300$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	48c	271.05$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.1	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	47c	255.03$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.13	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under	46c	250$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	44c	230$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Under	48c	224.58$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.76	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under	46c	220$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Over	55c	218.18$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.18	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…45f0backed Under	51c	213.1$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	336	50.6%170 W · 166 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.6	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Under	48c	197.94$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.53	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under	49c	186.49$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.57	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	92	69.6%64 W · 28 L	+12.1wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under	47c	179.92$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	48c	172$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.56	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under	48c	161.64$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.83	244	54.1%132 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under	47c	160.14$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under	46c	156.68$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.07	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under	46c	152.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under	46c	152.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	250	58.4%146 W · 104 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	55c	147.27$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.27	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under	46c	143.48$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1f…c5ebbacked Over	50c	141.2$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.2	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Under	51c	137.98$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.79	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Under	49c	127$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under	47c	124.14$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed Over	78c	120$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event