TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over52c35,801$18,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,184.4420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under47c21,849$10,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,269.113248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa32b…b8f8backed Under48c18,442$8,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,852633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9822845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over53c4,633$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c4,559$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c4,106$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.322,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170b…3d20backed Under48c4,072$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over53c4,055$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.681,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c4,004$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c3,394$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under48c3,113$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49412151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under48c2,939$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.7258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under46c2,720$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Over58c2,639$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.088348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.1516442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c1,782$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over58c1,725$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under48c1,443$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.5523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over53c1,441$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c853.03$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c774$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.521,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under41c623$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2322836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c495$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.652,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over53c396.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3425452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over58c395.07$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9321055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3613354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over52c293.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6723250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under48c293.06$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6710446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under12c289.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.521,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c280.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c250.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under42c202.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0210255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c200.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89c…8937backed Over53c188.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.773278.1%25 W · 7 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c181$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.712,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135b…2c6dbacked Over58c176$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260a…4282backed Over60c133.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.551353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Over56c124$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.564261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Under48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.597749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1116261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under42c109.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under41c104.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c104.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.952,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4220353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under44c98.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.996650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.085246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9115953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over59c84.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over53c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over53c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3326956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3317353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c82.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.142,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.755131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Over55c73.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.299154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3029652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8b…b6f1backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over53c50.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.512766.9%85 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under48c49.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.578556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over58c48.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3739756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe71…72a4backed Under45c46.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…d9f6backed Under48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over53c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under42c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under31c41.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under48c38.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6712062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.861,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Under44c34.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.032646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.