NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd883cddfc71a29b06129523f968b6b9c06c9bf895443800280ba297202b67155

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd89e…35fabacked Under	52c	17,192$8,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,926.83	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over	48c	12,143$5,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,314.52	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	55c	9,193$5,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,056.1	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over	46c	7,449$3,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,043.73	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under	52c	7,000$3,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,640	379	54.1%205 W · 174 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over	52c	6,032$3,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,895.16	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under	55c	5,000$2,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,740	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	47c	4,766$2,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,546.48	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	48c	4,240$2,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,204.8	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Under	48c	3,900$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,872	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	56c	3,077$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,711.56	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	2,822$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,478.74	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.98	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	50c	1,576$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.05	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	51c	1,386$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.31	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under	49c	1,225$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	53c	1,212$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.38	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	51c	1,080$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.77	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under	55c	1,067$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.65	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over	43c	1,012$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.09	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	52c	967.16$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.24	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Under	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	46c	926.81$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.48	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under	49c	809.78$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	49c	794.88$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.08	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	782.84$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	760.06$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.42	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	47c	744.58$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.23	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Over	51c	660.94$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.86	270	51.5%139 W · 131 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over	49c	618.55$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.28	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	51c	602.12$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.29	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	43c	600$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under	51c	500$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.8	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over	47c	430.15$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.98	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	50c	408.14$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.32	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	43c	320$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.4	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Under	66c	303.61$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-5.0wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under	53c	244.27$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.09	120	62.5%75 W · 45 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f1e…7834backed Under	49c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over	45c	200$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.5	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over	52c	186$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.28	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	43c	160$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.2	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ce…b4eebacked Under	50c	158.28$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under	40c	156$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed Under	52c	140$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	49c	134.61$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.82	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under	51c	131$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.81	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Over	46c	122.91$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.75	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Under	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	50c	120.1$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	348	49.7%173 W · 175 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	43c	109.14$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.21	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	34c	108.87$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.86	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	44c	105$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b6a…8071backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over	54c	103.7$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.7	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	43c	103.25$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.85	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	49c	101.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.57	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a73…dad6backed Under	64c	100.4$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.75	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Under	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over	52c	95.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	269	56.1%151 W · 118 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	173	53.2%92 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over	49c	93.02$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.44	147	54.4%80 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	39c	85.41$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.68	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eca…9b1bbacked Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Over	55c	84.44$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	43c	84$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.88	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	43c	84$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.88	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under	48c	82.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e5…9749backed Under	52c	82.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under	53c	78.16$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	45c	74.38$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under	15c	71.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99bc…6fbabacked Over	43c	69.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.77	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…74b7backed Under	49c	68.41$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.52	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	43c	66$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.62	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	43c	66$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.62	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d86…112cbacked Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	55c	61.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	55c	61.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	42c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…bc8cbacked Under	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1271…a720backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event