TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Lakers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Kings52c92,918$47,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,016.8459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers48c53,432$25,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,892.352,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Lakers50c20,682$10,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,34129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba0…52cabacked Lakers50c19,523$9,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,761.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+69.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Lakers48c13,671$6,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,562.0242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Kings50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0687…87d7backed Lakers49c9,950$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec88…2c91backed Kings51c9,950$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Lakers48c8,543$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.6236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Lakers49c5,919$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.149263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Kings52c5,742$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.895550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Kings51c3,984$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.2611755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Lakers48c3,958$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90012151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings50c3,245$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers48c3,038$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45816254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings51c2,857$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.9750653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Lakers50c2,736$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.156650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Lakers49c2,689$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.7726949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers51c2,600$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers48c2,514$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.73,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Kings52c1,929$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.8548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers51c1,736$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.252,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings49c1,616$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings49c1,555$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Kings50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Lakers49c1,340$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.5923250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…7f31backed Lakers26c1,338$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x649e…894abacked Kings51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers23c1,084$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers39c1,077$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Kings51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Kings51c993.92$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.021,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Kings50c980$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers48c870$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings67c861.18$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.862,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings50c844.26$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.131,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Kings50c814.9$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Kings51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3131551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…933fbacked Lakers49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings50c617.96$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0213543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Lakers47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8d7…fd94backed Kings50c560$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77af…81cfbacked Kings50c499$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c5…ccd9backed Kings50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1839…1d83backed Kings50c430$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers48c419$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Lakers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Kings51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1636143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1812…d809backed Kings50c386$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b2…391abacked Kings50c384$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Lakers49c376.17$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.582,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Kings74c366.08$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6527144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1adb…d1ebbacked Kings50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers51c323.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Lakers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Lakers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14734447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83f…65debacked Kings50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Kings52c290.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.355253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde4…fb56backed Kings50c282$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…3b01backed Kings50c267$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Lakers20c251.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Kings49c250.48$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Kings50c249.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9932051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06bb…4873backed Kings50c249$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb61…f576backed Kings50c247$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fa…39afbacked Kings50c236$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff4…c977backed Kings50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Lakers48c228.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8415649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefc…dd19backed Kings50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3229…a3b8backed Kings50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe0…bdabbacked Kings50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…35c3backed Kings50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…1005backed Kings50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e6a…c07ebacked Kings50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Lakers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbab0…9bfebacked Kings50c203$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0236…fa20backed Lakers51c196.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf443…9cfebacked Kings50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Kings52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117853.4%95 W · 83 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc7…7a68backed Kings50c187$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…a145backed Kings50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb2…3a63backed Kings50c169$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…75a4backed Kings50c168$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Kings76c167.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef6…b9f3backed Kings50c165$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6b…62fabacked Kings50c164$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Lakers47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41af…7533backed Kings50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd7…9e87backed Kings50c158$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…a437backed Kings50c157$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd51…6f69backed Kings50c157$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5776…e339backed Kings50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce8…b692backed Kings50c153$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+137%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Kings74c152.52$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14b…8773backed Kings50c147$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings49c145.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.