NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ba97332b7b5116cf3aeccb5b4b97e40f12a95c9f3778574199c8f3c6cd67cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 54c | 11,158$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.01 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 46c | 4,472$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.77 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 4,470$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 54c | 4,370$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.14 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 3,847$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 2,926$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 2,779$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,736$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.86 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,729$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,573$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 49c | 1,189$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.94 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 61c | 1,155$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 920.97$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 669.58$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 400$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 44c | 331.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 50c | 250.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 57c | 183.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…b6f1backed Over | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 56c | 159.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 61c | 143$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 133.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 131.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 40c | 131$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 113.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Over | 78c | 106.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…82fcbacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Over | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…8937backed Over | 55c | 55.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…b820backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 50.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 52c | 47.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Over | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 48c | 34.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 47c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 52c | 28.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 51c | 27.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Kings won
- Lakers vs. KingsKings won
- Lakers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Lakers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Kings won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.