La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42eb3fedcf77b5f78146a579282e2d9c4e462fcb640ff20e176f02756f0e1125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 32c | 617.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 557.8$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 231.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 225.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 69c | 217.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 202$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 29c | 147$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 35c | 118.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed No | 72c | 115.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 111.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 32c | 103.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 27c | 76.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 73.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed No | 70c | 48.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 41.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Granada CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.