TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked No60c100,088$60,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,035.913946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes40c90,642$36,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,276.624852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Yes40c43,400$17,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,359.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c22,615$13,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,026.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No60c17,777$10,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,110.668940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c12,722$8,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.74,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c7,273$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.821,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes40c5,324$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.68243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes40c3,852$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.3750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c3,300$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No60c2,916$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.8753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes34c2,473$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.93151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked No60c2,362$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No59c2,224$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.913138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3410437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes40c1,625$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c712.98$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.232,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No59c650.09$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.547250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No63c577.17$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.346950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes38c499.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Yes37c482$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Yes36c480$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes20c372.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.472846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c353.67$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed No60c257.42$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No60c230.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2312821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8215147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes40c188.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.964843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes31c167.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2410039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No60c165.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.332955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes37c161.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c161.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.213,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Yes34c147.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes34c144.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No58c123.32$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.418751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes37c121.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0824047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Yes41c121.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes27c119.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.312044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes18c116.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No66c109.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0815643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Yes35c105.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8903…ac56backed Yes38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes16c96.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154615.2%7 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes34c87.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Yes41c86.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes35c85.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes37c84.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.274131.7%13 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No61c82.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.173935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x314d…9f7dbacked Yes25c81.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.657552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed No61c64.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.012941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes42c61.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…82b0backed Yes37c59.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No59c56.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7730749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes41c47.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.534755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes41c46.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa22f…604cbacked Yes35c45.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked No61c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes37c35.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.112944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes31c34.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.745343.4%23 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked No59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf30…8cb4backed Yes39c33.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes40c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3112727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c8…6354backed No61c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Yes40c31.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes41c31.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8221648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No73c30.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed No69c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Yes43c27.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4463…f3d0backed Yes41c26.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…d9f6backed No61c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de5…4a03backed No61c16.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked No61c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked No61c16.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.262544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.