La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f320b09750f1e21a82abd64389db8ff8001b70d9449a5c1214e56c8f7f3096e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.93 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed No | 13c | 2,600$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 71c | 1,050$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 619.7$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 554.75$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.33 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 250.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 56c | 240$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 236.58$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 212.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 17c | 143.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed No | 66c | 83.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 71c | 73.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 41.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 48c | 41.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 45c | 26.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 39c | 25.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked No | 71c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.