Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Laslo Djere vs Marcos Giron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7366fe660fe3ec7e9b07e0fbdf9d8c5cd1f43e4b10dc56794e7e10a6a6fd89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gironof Djere, Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Djere | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Giron | 51c | 16,749$8,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,207.08 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Giron | 65c | 2,924$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Giron | 59c | 2,615$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.62 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Djere | 12c | 1,768$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Djere | 29c | 1,696$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.42 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Djere | 42c | 1,579$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.95 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Djere | 38c | 1,556$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.58 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Giron | 54c | 1,451$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.99 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Giron | 53c | 1,417$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.12 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Giron | 57c | 1,284$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.78 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Djere | 34c | 1,278$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Djere | 42c | 1,145$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.72 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Djere | 46c | 1,090$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Giron | 52c | 909.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.3 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Giron | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Djere | 31c | 716.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Djere | 40c | 691.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.03 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Giron | 58c | 650$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Djere | 47c | 634.81$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Djere | 41c | 624.21$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.93 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Djere | 12c | 600$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Giron | 58c | 516.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Giron | 51c | 507.55$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Djere | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Giron | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Giron | 75c | 400.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Giron | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Giron | 58c | 365$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Giron | 53c | 362.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Djere | 42c | 332.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Giron | 57c | 308.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Djere | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Giron | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Djere | 42c | 286.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Giron | 73c | 284.07$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Djere | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Djere | 45c | 235.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Djere | 36c | 232.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Giron | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…4518backed Djere | 46c | 189.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Djere | 47c | 186.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Giron | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Giron | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Djere | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Djere | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Djere | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Giron | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…06eebacked Giron | 60c | 120.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Djere | 27c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Giron | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Djere | 46c | 118.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Djere | 44c | 109.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Giron | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Giron | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Giron | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…02a6backed Djere | 48c | 83.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Djere | 31c | 75.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Djere | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed Giron | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Giron | 51c | 60.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Djere | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Djere | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Djere | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Djere | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Djere | 41c | 53.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Giron | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Djere | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…9a53backed Giron | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Giron | 59c | 37.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Giron | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Giron | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Giron | 71c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Giron | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Giron | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Giron | 77c | 25.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giron | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed Djere | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Giron | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Giron | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Giron | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Giron | 62c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.