La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc0291b0114812f28d4773da59eeedbc696241e0dddf20da6c8e8d9783b7774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $778,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $844,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 52c | 468,696$243,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243,227.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,000 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 108,862$52,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,312.14 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f6…cf62backed No | 51c | 28,300$14,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,432.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 50c | 20,195$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,194.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…5c74backed Yes | 53c | 17,903$9,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 17,867$8,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.45 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 0c | 13,586$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 12,141$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 11,486$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 48c | 5,474$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.67 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 52c | 5,284$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.88 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.95 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 52c | 4,450$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.58 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 42c | 4,215$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 52c | 3,950$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 51c | 3,742$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.23 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.11 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 30c | 3,211$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 74c | 2,531$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.06 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 2,453$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.44 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed Yes | 50c | 2,395$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 51c | 2,190$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 1,937$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.69 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 1,834$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.06 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,832$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Yes | 48c | 1,763$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 49c | 1,752$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.49 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,360$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 1,344$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.65 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.89 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 50c | 1,028$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.77 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 71c | 949.3$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 936.66$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.69 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 48c | 830.68$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 48c | 810$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.83 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 54c | 796.71$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…51c0backed Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…7a62backed No | 52c | 680$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…6d93backed No | 52c | 670$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5f79backed Yes | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 48c | 604.35$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 51c | 604.22$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 586.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.44 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 18c | 583.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 50c | 567.36$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.18 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 29c | 535.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 530.37$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Yes | 49c | 516.93$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 51c | 443.45$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 33c | 425.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…5a65backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +391.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 417.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.9 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 51c | 404.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 27c | 403.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 12c | 334.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 16c | 310.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 299.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Yes | 49c | 296.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Yes | 41c | 275.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 47c | 270.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 236.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 223.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Yes | 50c | 221.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 50c | 216.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.