TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c11,394$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.454,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No71c8,028$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.125242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No77c4,512$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.514753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No70c4,451$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.1912648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c3,900$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.8824147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c2,500$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.999055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c2,172$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.4190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes30c1,670$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes32c1,541$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-60.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,401$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes29c1,214$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No77c1,212$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.895160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes30c1,133$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…e167backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…038cbacked Yes3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No72c974.08$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.075246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…b26abacked Yes9c705.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8502…259dbacked No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No69c645.25$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.244463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No77c597.86$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1421842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c538$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c478$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No71c405$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No70c399.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c399.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c347.68$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.831,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c335$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4450449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7903…f658backed No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes7c257.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.316838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe61b…915fbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes12c249.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No66c249.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e14…2266backed Yes12c206.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Yes30c190.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes30c183.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes23c183.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.16238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Yes31c161.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c159.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4260%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c133.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes26c132$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.966434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…629fbacked Yes35c127.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c112.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes19c107.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202552%13 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes32c104.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.333148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c101$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes18c96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes26c94.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5517252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x286e…7d04backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes23c85.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6324047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes17c84.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c81.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.373,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No72c76.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3914574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.753246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.062839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4003…5773backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes23c45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.353151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…4caabacked Yes29c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes30c34.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.282846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.512744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No70c29.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1228558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed No78c13.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.