TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ea8…4caa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+331.8%+$59.72
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$54
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+282.3%+$38.67
Will Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.88
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+227.9%+$69.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+62.8%+$23.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 16 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+119.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.45
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.