Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225a0496b0420c4fc9b24089e096f262be609a4bc713c1c4edad1a202764d2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc579…e386backed Yes | 7c | 74,240$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 7c | 21,426$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.58 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 6,100$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 6c | 4,295$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 3c | 4,038$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…d93ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,103$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 7c | 2,810$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…0f53backed Yes | 8c | 2,802$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,635$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,564$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,335$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 5c | 2,300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 7c | 2,200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 1,668$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,656$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 6c | 1,602$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,476$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 7c | 1,399$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 1,354$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Yes | 6c | 1,205$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 6c | 950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 8c | 799.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 8c | 586.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 7c | 445.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…eba4backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 7c | 399.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 6c | 399.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 13c | 372.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +224.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 6c | 363.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…a88abacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…7029backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes | 5c | 330$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…3f00backed Yes | 5c | 328$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 6c | 323.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 6c | 306.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 6c | 306.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 7c | 304.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 299.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…b6c5backed Yes | 8c | 299.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…92bcbacked Yes | 6c | 282.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…643bbacked Yes | 7c | 281.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 7c | 266.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 8c | 263$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 7c | 236$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 8c | 232$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…db53backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 6c | 214.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 8c | 209.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…4c04backed Yes | 7c | 207.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…a352backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…d151backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…7e2bbacked Yes | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…4caabacked Yes | 7c | 166.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 7c | 162.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 149.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.