Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70421b008cc10b877278c923d7278ad705c8cd25375bb89962b17ce116495af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,217,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,320,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 227,550$52,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,453.31 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 80c | 98,813$78,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,816.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 76c | 90,025$68,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,160.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 24c | 84,750$20,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,035.35 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 23c | 70,553$16,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,540.52 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 78c | 53,661$41,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,803.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 44,006$35,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 79c | 33,332$26,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.32 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 19c | 32,700$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,102.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 31,266$23,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,433.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 77c | 28,169$21,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.97 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 78c | 25,962$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,711.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 23c | 25,800$5,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,933.99 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 25,128$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.01 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 24c | 20,950$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.99 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 24c | 19,750$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 77c | 17,257$13,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.17 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 22c | 16,610$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.22 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 80c | 16,589$13,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.69 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 18c | 16,249$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.26 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 25c | 14,612$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.61 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…4d2abacked No | 20c | 14,209$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 24c | 13,925$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.75 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 77c | 13,002$9,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 76c | 10,578$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.49 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 19c | 10,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 77c | 9,091$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.91 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 20c | 8,722$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.4 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 20c | 8,316$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 20c | 8,097$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 22c | 7,974$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 12c | 7,363$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.55 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 19c | 7,200$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 19c | 6,675$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.1 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 20c | 6,675$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 76c | 6,581$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.46 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.51 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 23c | 6,443$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 78c | 6,180$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.09 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 77c | 6,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 77c | 4,775$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 79c | 4,500$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Yes | 77c | 4,331$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.98 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 79c | 4,080$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.55 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 78c | 4,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 80c | 3,934$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 78c | 3,916$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.35 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,912$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.16 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 21c | 3,815$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 21c | 3,814$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.03 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 79c | 3,700$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.1 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked No | 12c | 3,500$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…99f3backed No | 12c | 3,460$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 78c | 3,417$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 3,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 24c | 3,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed No | 23c | 2,983$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1e6abacked No | 19c | 2,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 2,239$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.16 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 23c | 2,210$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 24c | 2,125$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 68c | 2,086$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…566ebacked No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 24c | 1,900$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 75c | 1,895$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.98 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 23c | 1,887$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 23c | 1,806$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 18c | 1,729$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.29 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 77c | 1,600$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 23c | 1,572$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Yes | 78c | 1,563$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 75c | 1,471$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.66 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed No | 12c | 1,380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 20c | 1,365$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 79c | 1,343$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 24c | 1,308$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked No | 24c | 1,308$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Yes | 73c | 1,177$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 77c | 1,160$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e328backed Yes | 77c | 1,092$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 77c | 1,048$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed No | 19c | 1,016$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.