TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No53c30,196$16,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,085.854,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c17,687$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,924.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes54c12,000$6,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.789134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c10,882$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,384.562,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No77c10,388$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,998.7410057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No77c10,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No76c9,037$6,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,868.3618950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes16c6,838$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,743.7112241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No46c5,590$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.398153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No77c5,581$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2971457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No27c5,027$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.853941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked No77c4,958$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed No78c4,880$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c4,743$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,675.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c4,464$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.451,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes20c4,233$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.331330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes22c3,948$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.562623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No52c3,520$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.611,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes23c3,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3108343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes66c2,587$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.6425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes24c2,520$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.0320246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No30c2,516$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked No46c2,476$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed2…8958backed Yes19c2,350$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.931788.2%15 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.41per pick47cpaid+144.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes18c2,164$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.4312532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes24c2,083$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.336440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.987929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No77c1,916$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes24c1,720$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.27332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes23c1,510$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes72c1,384$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8811755.6%65 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes18c1,356$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.4910341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked Yes24c1,302$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+52.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes49c1,256$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes13c1,207$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.255335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Yes23c1,195$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.151540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes50c1,139$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.3412345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes20c1,071$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.353458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+55%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.672231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c1,040$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.793971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No51c1,000$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50826548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed No2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbce…8faabacked Yes70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…38cfbacked Yes16c995$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes76c852.16$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.142846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3317234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.335226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes65c801.2$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.423923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes23c800$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6164257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cd…2e45backed Yes17c791.32$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.222832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes17c708.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.3324630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No76c699.99$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.997853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No29c699.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9823325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes37c686.55$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes17c672.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No49c670.67$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.641,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No77c619.74$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.21752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes25c607.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.82433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes70c603.55$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes23c600.01$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.7252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes4c591.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.014216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb874…04ccbacked Yes66c517.27$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8216753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b2…fb99backed Yes25c481.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes24c479.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.178851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes61c476$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed No11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes15c450$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38145224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes6c450$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4235831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e7…69c0backed Yes16c437.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a00…f502backed Yes79c437$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.772544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes23c416.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.676250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.673366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes23c412.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9622229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e13…cf17backed Yes75c411.11$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ce…4994backed Yes16c410$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9095…b6cbbacked Yes24c410$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x956a…c48ebacked Yes5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+566.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No77c399$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2313565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…5ce9backed Yes5c397.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+331.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611b…473abacked Yes69c388.82$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes79c380.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.133450%17 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No26c358.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.717048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No31c322.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a9…5e9ebacked Yes16c321.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes16c317.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.71241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cad…671abacked Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes20c305.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.562951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71ae…084fbacked Yes23c305.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22810246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes5c300$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+98.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked No77c299.79$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.842373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes23c298.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.684055%22 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes23c296.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.321330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Yes50c293.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.994864.6%31 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe73…ed60backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.