Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c900e67fb5e64fedf4c03036bb0586ac5aa00da8a20180aa605df84987426b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,640,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,619,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,640,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,003 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 43c | 360,732$153,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,212.49 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 94,495$54,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,613.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 93,382$53,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,960.58 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Yes | 58c | 78,567$45,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,569.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 42c | 70,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,599.88 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 80c | 65,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 41c | 42,500$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,899.82 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 72c | 40,497$29,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,037.51 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 57c | 35,009$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 35,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,299.96 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 20c | 31,233$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,986.5 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 30,000$17,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,383.71 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 59c | 27,339$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…5b61backed Yes | 57c | 26,262$14,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,969.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 58c | 25,819$14,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,975.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 25,755$10,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,937.9 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 25,503$7,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,622.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 24,887$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,663.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed No | 35c | 21,642$7,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,959.39 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 20,850$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.61 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 42c | 20,000$8,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650.18 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 43c | 18,729$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,675.28 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 57c | 18,642$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.94 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 44c | 16,068$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,067.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…29aebacked Yes | 57c | 16,000$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 15,991$9,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,165.67 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 15,500$10,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed No | 21c | 13,965$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,048.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 58c | 13,874$8,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,046.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 42c | 12,335$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.86 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 41c | 11,915$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked No | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed No | 42c | 11,899$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.17 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 42c | 11,730$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.34 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 58c | 10,777$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250.65 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 10,312$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 43c | 10,079$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,785.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.32 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.87 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 43c | 9,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 42c | 9,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.86 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 48c | 8,257$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 25c | 7,500$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 77c | 7,409$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.54 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 6,237$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.07 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 12c | 6,061$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.91 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 66c | 5,980$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.73 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…ecc1backed No | 44c | 5,681$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 13c | 5,569$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.85 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0113backed Yes | 59c | 5,254$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 4,995$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.36 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 56c | 4,880$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.75 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 41c | 4,824$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 4,738$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.65 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…d891backed Yes | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 42c | 4,438$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 58c | 3,672$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 44c | 3,600$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 3,547$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.37 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes | 58c | 3,544$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 54c | 3,521$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.69 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 43c | 3,516$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.23 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,500$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 42c | 3,216$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 58c | 3,108$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.56 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed No | 41c | 3,092$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.95 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 2,868$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 43c | 2,856$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.77 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 9c | 2,827$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.97 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 58c | 2,805$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.26 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 58c | 2,750$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 2,667$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 43c | 2,632$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…c5fcbacked Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…79b5backed Yes | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed No | 43c | 2,539$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 43c | 2,525$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.34 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 2,506$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.18 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 39c | 2,384$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.11 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 23c | 2,232$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.22 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…afd0backed Yes | 80c | 2,200$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.